Computer Modeling Poorly Understood Systems (or The Death of a Cult)

"The 2007 hurricane season may be less severe than forecast due to cooler-than-expected water temperatures in the tropical Atlantic, private forecaster WSI Corp said on Tuesday."

Hey, isn't that the same thing they said in 2006, when they had to downgrade the chance of a repeat of 2005's overactive hurricane season from 80% to 75% to 0%"?

Strange. These people have the best modeling software available, yet are usually incorrect in their predictions even only a few months away. Why are we trusting what their models tell us will happen decades from now?

The skeptics continue to increase in number. Is it possible that science is going to win out over emotion? It looks increasingly likely. Gore's religion continues to crumble, and there's no reason to be sad about that!